On Apr 01 2011 by William A. Stock

India/China Quota numbers – Update

While the USCIS numbers of pending I-485 make me relatively pessimistic on movement for India and China EB-2, the State Department’s internal case management staff are feeling more optimistic.  In fact, we are seeing the National Visa Center issue fee bills for EB-2 India immigrant visa files with priority dates as late as November 2007, which would seem to indicate that NVC, at least, thinks the visa numbers will move at least that far ahead this year.

A caveat against reading too much into the NVC action: recall that it was imperfect information-sharing between USCIS and the State Department that led to the July 2007 “Visagate” debacle, and NVC likely has a small minority of the overall number of visa petitions with India and China EB priority dates in 2006 and early 2007, since so many of those beneficiaries could file for adjustment of status in July of 2007.

It’s also possible that NVC is simply trying to get cases set up with fees paid and documents submitted in case the numbers stay current for the rest of the fiscal year – but applicants would lose their filing fees if the numbers retrogress later this year.

We will have to wait for the May Visa Bulletin from the State Department, likely released by April 13 or so, for more detailed information on the State Department’s thinking.